The Chicago Bears aim for their fourth consecutive win when they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday Night Football at Soldier Field. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET.
The Bears (6-2) are second in the NFC North and 3-1 at home in 2026. The Buccaneers (3-5) are tied for second in the NFC South, have won two straight, and are 2-1 on the road. Chicago enters off a 34-17 win over the Seattle Seahawks; Tampa Bay blanked the Atlanta Falcons 16-0.
Bears running back Kyle Monangai (toe/thumb) remains out, while Buccaneers receiver Emeka Egbuka (foot) is active. Chicago is a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 47.5 points. The money line has Chicago at -270 and Tampa Bay at +220.
SportsLine's simulation model, which has returned over $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since inception and is on a 60-51 run since 2024, projects the Over 47.5 points. The Over has hit in four of the last seven head-to-head meetings, in two of Tampa Bay's last three games, and in each of Chicago's last three.
Quarterback Caleb Williams has completed 70.9% of his passes for 1,267 yards and six touchdowns in five starts. For Tampa Bay, Baker Mayfield has completed 61.8% for 679 yards and three touchdowns, while running back Bucky Irving has rushed 147 times for 728 yards and five touchdowns. The model projects 49 combined points.
The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations. Detailed picks are available via SportsLine.
