The No. 12 Ohio State Buckeyes will host the No. 23 Oregon Ducks in a Big Ten matchup on Saturday at Ohio Stadium in Columbus, Ohio. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET.
Ohio State enters with a 6-2 overall record and 4-1 in conference play after a five-game winning streak ended with a 30-18 loss to unranked USC. Oregon is 5-3 overall and 3-2 in the Big Ten following a 34-26 upset of then-No. 20 Northwestern.
Both teams will be without their starting quarterbacks. Ohio State's Julian Sayin is out with an arm injury, and Oregon's Dante Moore is sidelined with a concussion. Ohio State receiver Brandon Inniss is listed as doubtful.
The Buckeyes are 7.5-point favorites, and the over/under for total points is set at 44.5. The money line lists Ohio State at -294 and Oregon at +245.
A projection model that simulates each game 10,000 times projects the over 44.5 points, citing that each of the last four meetings surpassed 60 combined points and that the over has hit in all four Ohio State home games this season and in two of three Oregon road games. The model also notes that Oregon's backup quarterback Dylan Raiola threw for 336 yards and three touchdowns last week, while Ohio State true freshman Luke Fahey passed for 260 yards, one touchdown and no turnovers at USC. The two are projected for over 500 combined passing yards, and the model forecasts the over hitting in 56% of simulations.
The same model indicates one side of the spread hits in more than 60% of simulations. The model entered Week 10 with an 80-77 record on top-rated college football picks.
