The Buffalo Bulls and Miami (Ohio) RedHawks meet Tuesday night at Fred C. Yager Stadium in Oxford, Ohio, with both teams at 5-3 overall and 3-1 in Mid-American Conference play, tied for third place. Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET.
Odds and Trends
Miami (Ohio) enters as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 44.5 points. The RedHawks are 4-4 against the spread this season, while Buffalo is 3-5 ATS. Miami has won three straight and is 3-1 at home in 2026; Buffalo is 1-2 on the road.
Model Projections
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each FBS game 10,000 times, projects the total to exceed 44.5 points. The over has hit in six of the last ten head-to-head matchups and in six of the last ten games for each team. Miami averages 27 points per game (third in the MAC), while Buffalo averages 22.6 (sixth). The model forecasts Buffalo quarterback Jason Wright to throw for over 175 yards and a touchdown (987 yards, seven TDs on the season) and Miami quarterback Caleb Heavner to exceed 215 yards with two touchdowns. Combined points are projected at 50, with the over hitting in 64% of simulations. The model also indicates one side of the spread covers in well over 50% of simulations.
The model entered Week 10 on an 80-77 run on top-rated college football picks.
