A proven computer model that simulates every NFL game 10,000 times has released its Week 9 best bets, with a five-leg parlay offering a potential payout of nearly +3000. The model, which has generated more than $5,000 in profit for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception, entered Week 9 of the 2026 season on a 60-51 run on top-rated selections dating back to 2024.
Week 9 Matchups and Notable Spreads
The Minnesota Vikings, the league's last unbeaten team, enter as 3-point home underdogs against the AFC East-leading Buffalo Bills. The 6-1 San Francisco 49ers host the Las Vegas Raiders, who are 9.5-point underdogs. The largest spread of the week features the Arizona Cardinals at the Seattle Seahawks, with Seattle favored by 11.5 points. Other notable lines include the Jacksonville Jaguars at the Baltimore Ravens (+8.5), the Los Angeles Rams at the Washington Commanders (+5.5), the Houston Texans at the Los Angeles Chargers (+4.5), and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers favored by 5.5 points over the Chicago Bears on Sunday Night Football.
Model Backs Over 44.5 in Cardinals-Seahawks
The model's top selection is the Over 44.5 points in the Cardinals-Seahawks matchup, a play that hits in 68% of simulations. The Over has cashed in six of Arizona's last 10 games and three of Seattle's last five. Seattle ranks 11th in scoring offense at 24.0 points per game, while Arizona averages 21.9 points per game, ranking 21st. Cardinals running back Tyler Allgeier has rushed 72 times for 323 yards and two touchdowns, including a 147-yard, one-touchdown performance on 11 carries in an overtime win over Dallas. Tight end Trey McBride leads Arizona with 66 receptions for 544 yards and five touchdowns. For Seattle, quarterback Sam Darnold completed 67.7% of his passes for 4,048 yards with 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions over 17 games last season, guiding the team to a Super Bowl championship.
Four Additional High-Confidence Picks
The model also identified four other games where it believes the betting line is significantly off, including multiple spread selections that hit well over 50% of the time in simulations. Combined with the Cardinals-Seahawks Over, the five picks form a parlay with a projected return of nearly +3000.
