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NFL Week 8: Computer Model Predictions and Betting Odds for Domestic Matchups

NFL Week 8: Computer Model Predictions and Betting Odds for Domestic Matchups
Other Sports · 22:23:05 - Tuesday, 3 November 2026

The Week 8 NFL schedule features only domestic games, with several matchups that could be playoff rematches. Key contests include Ravens at Bills (Buffalo favored by 3), Vikings at Lions (Detroit -3.5), Chiefs at Broncos (Kansas City -1.5), and Bears at Seahawks (Seattle -3). Games with large spreads are Bengals vs. Titans (Cincinnati -13.5), Jaguars vs. Colts (Jacksonville -10.5), and Rams vs. Chargers (Los Angeles -6.5). The Chargers are on a nine‑game losing streak and remain the only winless team against the spread this season, while every team has at least two against‑the‑spread defeats.

SportsLine’s computer model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, has returned more than $5,000 for $100 players on top‑rated NFL picks since its inception. Entering Week 8 of the 2026 season, the model holds a 58‑51 record on top‑rated picks dating back to 2024. Its strongest Week 8 selections include the Steelers (-3.5) covering at home against the Browns. Pittsburgh has won 22 consecutive home games versus Cleveland since 2004, is 3‑0 against the spread at home this year, while the Browns are 2‑2 ATS on the road. Cleveland’s 28th‑ranked scoring offense is unlikely to keep pace with a Steelers team that has scored 30-plus points in back‑to‑back home games; the model projects Pittsburgh covering well over 60% of the time.

Another highlighted pick is the Rams (-6.5) covering against the Chargers in nearly 60% of simulations. Los Angeles has lost nine straight games dating to last season, with quarterback Justin Herbert throwing 12 turnovers against only six touchdowns over that span. The Chargers are also winless against the spread during the streak. Meanwhile, Sean McVay’s Rams are 6‑2 against the spread in non‑conference games since 2025, the second‑best mark in the NFL. The model sees a touchdown‑plus victory for Los Angeles, with the over hitting 55% of the time.

The model also projects six teams to win by double digits, offering potential value on alternate lines. The full Week 8 odds table lists spreads and totals for all 16 games, including Thursday’s Panthers at Packers (Packers 27‑19 final), Cardinals at Cowboys (Dallas -7.5, 54.5), Falcons at Buccaneers (Tampa Bay -1.5, 43.5), Ravens at Bills (Buffalo -3, 55.5), Browns at Steelers (Pittsburgh -3.5, 39), Colts at Jaguars (Jacksonville -10.5, 45.5), Raiders at Jets (New York -1.5, 46.5), Vikings at Lions (Detroit -3, 46), Titans at Bengals (Cincinnati -13.5, 46.5), Chargers at Rams (Los Angeles -6.5, 45.5), Chiefs at Broncos (Kansas City -1.5, 41.5), Patriots at Dolphins (New England -7, 41.5), Eagles at Commanders (Washington -6, 40.5), and Monday’s Bears at Seahawks (Seattle -3, 46.5).

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