The Baltimore Ravens will welcome back quarterback Lamar Jackson for a high-profile NFL Week 8 matchup against the Buffalo Bills at New Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Jackson has missed the last three games but carries no injury designation this week, rejoining an offense that also features running back Derrick Henry and wide receiver Zay Flowers.
Team Form
The Ravens have lost two consecutive divisional games, scoring only 13 and 10 points against the Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns without Jackson. In his three full starts this season, Baltimore posted 41 and 34 points in two of those contests, with combined game totals of 65 and 64 points. The Bills enter the game leading the NFL in scoring at 32.8 points per game but are also allowing 28.5 points per game, the third-highest in the league. Buffalo is coming off its bye week.
Odds and Predictions
Buffalo opens as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 54.5 total points. Jackson's passing yardage prop is set at 237.5 yards. A predictive model that simulates each game 10,000 times projects the over 54.5 points as the stronger play, noting that the over has hit in all but one Bills game this season. The model forecasts approximately 58 combined points, giving the over a 55% value probability. The model also indicates one side of the point spread offers better value, though the specific side was not disclosed in the source material.
