The Cincinnati Bengals (5-2) will face the Atlanta Falcons (3-5) in the 2026 NFL Madrid game at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, kicking off at 9:30 a.m. ET. The Bengals enter on a three-game win streak after Joe Burrow threw for 462 yards and five touchdowns in overtime against the Titans. The Falcons lost 16-0 to Tampa Bay, with Michael Penix Jr. throwing four interceptions.
Cincinnati is a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 52.5 points. SportsLine's simulation model, which has returned over $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since inception and is on a 60-51 run since 2024, projects the Under 52.5 points (-108) as the better value. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations.
Key matchups include Burrow, the NFL leader in passing touchdowns (20), against Bijan Robinson, the league's rushing leader (780 yards). Tee Higgins (726 receiving yards) and Ja'Marr Chase form a potent receiving duo, while Atlanta's defense allowed 324 rushing yards last week. Drake London and Robinson remain the Falcons' offensive engines, but Penix must rebound quickly.
