The top-ranked Miami Hurricanes will face the No. 11 Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Saturday in a Week 10 college football matchup with significant College Football Playoff implications. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Notre Dame Stadium in Notre Dame, Indiana.
Miami enters the game unbeaten at 8-0 overall and 6-0 in ACC play, having won 38-35 at North Carolina last week. The Hurricanes are 4-0 on the road this season and remain one of three unbeaten Power 4 teams. Notre Dame sits at 7-1, with a 35-13 victory over Navy in Week 9, and is 3-0 at home but 0-1 against ranked opponents.
Wide receiver Malachi Toney (ankle) is out for Miami, a factor that contributed to the betting line shifting during the week. After opening at -5.5, Notre Dame is now a 7-point favorite, with the over/under set at 54.5 points. The money line lists Notre Dame at -278 and Miami at +235.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each FBS game 10,000 times, projects the Under 54.5 points as the value side, hitting 58% of simulations. The Under has cashed in three of the last five head-to-head meetings and in Notre Dame's most recent game. The Fighting Irish defense allows 13.4 points per game, tied for fifth nationally, while Miami allows 17.8 points per game, ranking 21st.
The model projects Miami quarterback Darian Mensah to throw for over 260 yards and two touchdowns; he has 2,425 yards and 25 touchdowns with one interception this season. Notre Dame quarterback C.J. Carr is projected for nearly 250 yards and two touchdowns, with 1,849 yards and 18 touchdowns against one interception on the year. The computer forecasts a combined 51 points.
