The Chicago Bears aim to extend their winning streak to four games when they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a key NFC matchup on Sunday Night Football at Soldier Field. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. The Bears (6-2), second in the NFC North, are 3-1 at home this season. The Buccaneers (3-5), tied for second in the NFC South, have won two straight and are 2-1 on the road.
Chicago enters as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 47.5 points. Bears running back Kyle Monangai (toe/thumb) remains out, while Buccaneers receiver Emeka Egbuka (foot) is active.
A proven model that simulates every NFL game 10,000 times projects the Over 47.5 points to hit in 51% of simulations, forecasting 49 combined points. The Over has hit in four of the last seven head-to-head meetings, in two of the last three Tampa Bay games, and in each of the last three Chicago games. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations.
Quarterback Baker Mayfield has completed 61.8% of his passes for 679 yards and three touchdowns this season, while running back Bucky Irving has carried 147 times for 728 yards (5.0 average) and five touchdowns. For Chicago, quarterback Caleb Williams has completed 70.9% of his passes for 1,267 yards and six touchdowns in five starts. The model has returned more than $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception and entered Week 9 on a 60-51 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024.
