The Green Bay Packers (5-3) visit the New England Patriots (5-3) on Sunday at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts, for an NFL Week 9 matchup kicking off at 1 p.m. ET.
Packers riding momentum
Green Bay has won four of its last five games, with quarterback Jordan Love throwing for at least 270 yards in four of those contests. In a Week 8 Thursday night win over Carolina, Love threw three touchdown passes for 288 yards. Receivers Christian Watson (113 yards) and Matthew Golden (79 yards, one TD) combined for 15 receptions, while tight end Tucker Kraft added six catches for 63 yards and a score. Running back Josh Jacobs contributed 52 yards and two touchdowns. The Packers defense sacked Bryce Young six times and has not allowed more than 20 points in any of the past five games. Watson suffered a broken rib but returned to the game. Green Bay is 2-2 on the road this season.
Patriots strong at home
New England has won three straight at home and is 9-3 at Gillette Stadium since the start of last season. Quarterback Drake Maye has averaged 279.6 passing yards with 14 touchdown passes and only two interceptions over the past five games. The Patriots feature five pass-catchers with at least 200 receiving yards, and running back Rhamondre Stevenson has 579 total yards and three touchdowns. The defense has 22 sacks, led by Elijah Ponder with six. New England averages 23.0 points per game while allowing just over 20.
Betting lines and trends
DraftKings Sportsbook lists the Patriots as 3-point home favorites with an over/under of 46.5 points. The money line sits at Patriots -170, Packers +142. Six of Green Bay's eight games have gone under the total, while five of New England's eight have gone over. The Patriots are 3-4-1 against the spread (2-1 at home), and the Packers are 5-3 ATS (2-2 on the road).
Prediction
The SportsLine Projection Model gives Green Bay a 49% win probability and a 53% chance to cover the spread. Expert R.J. White backs the Packers, noting New England's offensive surge has come against weaker defenses. With both quarterbacks playing well, the model favors the Packers as a plus-money underdog.
