The Green Bay Packers and New England Patriots, both 5-3, meet Sunday at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts, for an NFL Week 9 matchup kicking off at 1 p.m. ET.
DraftKings Sportsbook lists the Patriots as 3-point home favorites with an over/under of 46.5 points. The money line has Green Bay at +142 and New England at -170.
Quarterback Jordan Love threw three touchdowns in the Packers' Thursday night win over Carolina, while Drake Maye also had three touchdown passes in New England's victory at Miami. Love has topped 270 passing yards in four of the last five games, and receivers Christian Watson and Matthew Golden have been productive. Watson played through a broken rib against the Panthers.
The Patriots are 3-0 at home this season and 9-3 at Gillette Stadium since the start of 2024. Maye has averaged 279.6 passing yards with 14 touchdowns and only two interceptions over his last five starts. New England's offense features five pass-catchers with at least 200 receiving yards, and running back Rhamondre Stevenson has 579 total yards.
Green Bay's defense has not allowed more than 20 points in any of the past five games and sacked Bryce Young six times last week. The Packers are 2-2 on the road, while New England is 3-4-1 against the spread overall but 2-1 at home.
The SportsLine Projection Model gives the Packers a 49% win probability and a 53% chance to cover the spread. Expert R.J. White also backs Green Bay, noting the Patriots' offensive surge has come against weak defenses.
