The Cincinnati Bengals and Atlanta Falcons meet in Madrid on Sunday at 9:30 a.m. ET for an NFL Week 9 international game. Prediction market Kalshi lists Cincinnati as the favorite to win.
Current market prices show the Bengals to win at $0.62 per share, implying a 62% probability, while the Falcons trade at $0.38 (38%). For the point spread, Bengals to win by more than 3.5 points is priced at $0.46 (Yes) and $0.55 (No). The over/under of 52.5 total points has Yes at $0.51 and No at $0.50.
Cincinnati enters on a three‑game winning streak, scoring at least 31 points in each victory. Atlanta has lost three of its last four, including a 16‑0 shutout against Tampa Bay last week. Falcons running back Brian Robinson Jr. is inactive with a hamstring injury, but pass rusher James Pearce Jr. returns from suspension. The Bengals defense has conceded the seventh‑most yards per game this season.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates a Bengals win at a 53% rate. Key matchups include Cincinnati’s passing trio of Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins against a below‑average Falcons pass defense, while Atlanta’s offense led by Michael Penix Jr. and Drake London faces a Bengals unit stronger against the run than the pass.
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