The Chicago Bears aim for their fourth consecutive victory when they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday Night Football in a key NFC matchup at Soldier Field. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET.
The Bears (6-2) sit second in the NFC North and are 3-1 at home this season. The Buccaneers (3-5), tied for second in the NFC South, have won two straight and are 2-1 on the road. Chicago enters as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 47.5 points.
Injury notes: Buccaneers receiver Emeka Egbuka (foot) is active, while Bears running back Kyle Monangai (toe/thumb) remains out.
A proven simulation model that has returned over $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since 2024 projects the game to go over the 47.5-point total. The over has hit in four of the last seven head-to-head meetings, in two of Tampa Bay's last three games, and in each of Chicago's last three games. The model projects 49 combined points, with the over hitting in 51% of simulations.
Quarterback Baker Mayfield has completed 61.8% of his passes for 679 yards and three touchdowns this season, while running back Bucky Irving has rushed 147 times for 728 yards and five touchdowns. For Chicago, quarterback Caleb Williams has completed 70.9% of his passes for 1,267 yards and six touchdowns in five starts. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations.
