The Denver Nuggets will face the Indiana Pacers in the 2026 NBA Mexico City Game on Saturday at Arena CDMX, marking the 16th NBA regular-season game in Mexico and the only one scheduled for the 2026-27 season. Tipoff is set for 5 p.m. ET.
The Nuggets enter with a 4-3 record, while the Pacers are 3-6. Indiana lists T.J. McConnell (hamstring) and Kelly Oubre Jr. (calf) as questionable, and Tyrese Haliburton (hamstring) is out.
Denver is a 7.5-point favorite with an over/under of 228.5 points. The money line has the Nuggets at -268 and the Pacers at +230.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which has returned nearly $19,000 in profit for $100 players on top-rated NBA picks since 2018 and is on a 26-11 (70%) run on spread picks this season, projects the game to go Over the total. The model simulates each game 10,000 times and predicts 238 combined points, with the Over hitting in 62% of simulations.
Denver averages 115.4 points per game and has gone Over in four of seven games. The Pacers are coming off an upset win over the Grizzlies. Last season the two teams averaged 236 points in their two meetings. The model projects Nikola Jokic to score 26.1 points, Jamal Murray 22.8, and Pascal Siakam 21.9 for Indiana.
The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations. The game will be streamed on Fubo.
