Seventh-ranked Texas (6-2) visits No. 18 Missouri (6-2) at noon ET Saturday at Faurot Field in Columbia, Mo., in a game that could eliminate the loser from College Football Playoff contention. The Longhorns have won back-to-back games over Ole Miss and Mississippi State, while the Tigers routed Arkansas 34-10 last week.
Texas is a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 42.5 points and a money line of Texas -135, Missouri +117. The Longhorns will be without running back Hollywood Smothers and offensive tackle Trevor Goosby, while edge rusher Colin Simmons and receiver Cam Coleman are questionable. Missouri quarterback Austin Simmons has thrown for 1,952 yards with 16 touchdowns and two interceptions, and running back Jamal Roberts has topped 1,000 yards. Texas quarterback Arch Manning has 1,727 yards, 15 touchdowns and seven interceptions but has elevated his play during the winning streak.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which entered Week 10 on an 80-77 run on top-rated college football picks, projects 47 combined points and favors the over 42.5 in 62% of simulations. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations. Missouri has allowed at least 31 points in each of its three losses, while Texas has given up 27 points in three of its last four games.
