UTSA Roadrunners (7-1, 4-0 American Athletic Conference) visit FAU Owls (5-3, 2-2) on Thursday at 7:30 p.m. ET from Flagler Credit Union Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida. The Roadrunners have won five straight games, with their only loss coming against then-No. 1 Texas. FAU has dropped two of its last three, including a 48-41 loss to North Texas last week.
Betting Odds and Predictions
UTSA enters as a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 72.5 points, the highest total in Week 10. The money line lists UTSA at -278 and FAU at +225. The SportsLine Projection Model, after 10,000 simulations, leans toward the Under 72.5 points, projecting 63 combined points with the Under hitting in 71% of simulations. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations.
Key Trends
UTSA has shown a stark home-road split: away games average 46 points compared to 73 at home, with the Under hitting in three of four road contests. The last four meetings between the teams have averaged 50.3 points. FAU has committed six turnovers in its last three games after four straight games without a giveaway, a trend that could limit scoring opportunities.
UTSA leads the all-time series 3-2 but has won the last two matchups. Kickoff is set for Thursday evening.
