The Jacksonville Jaguars (5-2) travel to face the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday Night Football as 10-point road favorites, with an over/under of 40 points. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET at M&T Bank Stadium. Jacksonville leads the AFC South by three games and has won 14 of its last 17 contests, including a 42-7 victory over Indianapolis last week. Baltimore has dropped three straight after a 4-1 start and will be without starting quarterback Lamar Jackson (thumb) and backup Tyler Huntley (toe), leaving third-stringer Joe Fagnano to make his second career start.
Key Performers and Trends
Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence leads the NFL in passer rating this season and has thrown seven touchdown passes through seven games, a franchise record. Running back Bhayshul Tuten became the first Jacksonville player since Maurice Jones-Drew in 2007 to record 100-plus rushing yards, 50-plus receiving yards, and two-plus touchdowns in a single game. The Jaguars have won consecutive Thursday night games, most recently against New Orleans in 2023.
Injury and Personnel Notes
Jacksonville's run defense ranks last in Run-Stop-Win Rate and will be without nose tackle Davon Hamilton, while edge rusher Travon Walker is playing through an injury. For Baltimore, offensive coordinator Declan Doyle is expected to employ a simplified, heavy-personnel game plan centered on Derrick Henry, Mark Andrews, and quick screens to Zay Flowers with Fagnano under center.
Expert Predictions
SportsLine analyst Jeff Hochman favors the Ravens +10, citing Jacksonville's worse road quarterback rating (89.9 vs. 120.6 at home), a short week, and Baltimore's motivation after three losses. Hochman also highlights Justice Hill over 11.5 receiving yards, noting Hill's eight targets in Fagnano's debut and consistent involvement in the passing game. Fellow expert R.J. White agrees on Hill over 11.5 receiving yards, pointing to Hill's five straight games with at least three targets and the likelihood of checkdowns against a Jaguars defense vulnerable to running backs in the passing game.
