After a mixed Week 8 that saw a 3-2 record against the spread on lock selections and an overall 8-6 ATS mark, the focus shifts to NFL Week 9. Tennessee and Pittsburgh are on bye. All lines are via DraftKings; times listed are Eastern.
Locks of the Week
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC) – The Bears appear as legitimate Super Bowl contenders after a dominant win in Seattle, with defensive addition Jeffery Simmons making an immediate impact. Tampa Bay's passing attack has completed just 7 of 14 attempts for 64 yards over its last two games. Chicago is 3-1 ATS at home this season. Projected score: Bears 28, Buccaneers 20. Pick: Bears -6.5.
Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox) – Drake Maye leads the NFL in total yards and touchdowns from Weeks 4-8, but Green Bay's defense has allowed only 14.6 points per game over the past five contests, ranking third. Jordan Love leads the league in passing yards and 20-plus air-yard completions. Projected score: Packers 23, Patriots 21. Pick: Packers +3.
Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox) – Jayden Daniels posted a 17.2% off-target rate in Week 8, the third-highest of his career. The Rams defense allows 301.1 total yards per game (fifth in NFL). Washington is 0-5 following a win since last season with a -9.0 points-per-game differential. Projected score: Rams 27, Commanders 21. Pick: Rams -5.5.
Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox) – Indianapolis has lost 2-13 over its last 15 games and allows 27.8 points per game (third-highest). Daniel Jones owns a 68.7 passer rating (worst in NFL) and is 3-10 as a starter since Week 9 last year with 13 touchdowns and 20 turnovers. Jonathan Taylor's snap share has declined amid trade rumors. Projected score: Cowboys 30, Colts 17. Pick: Cowboys -6.
Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN) – Minnesota's offense averages 279.4 total yards (fourth-lowest) and 20 points per game (sixth-lowest). Buffalo leads the league with 33.3 points per game and scores touchdowns on 70% of red-zone trips (fifth-highest). Projected score: Bills 24, Vikings 17. Pick: Bills -3.5.
Remaining Games
Jaguars at Ravens (Thursday): Projected Jaguars 28, Ravens 16. Pick: Jaguars -9.5. Bengals at Falcons (Madrid): Projected Bengals 27, Falcons 26. Pick: Falcons +3. Jets at Chiefs: Projected Chiefs 30, Jets 20. Pick: Chiefs -9.5. Lions at Dolphins: Projected Lions 34, Dolphins 23. Pick: Lions -7. Browns at Saints: Projected Saints 24, Browns 20. Pick: Saints -2.5. Giants at Eagles: Projected Giants 24, Eagles 17. Pick: Giants -3.5. Broncos at Panthers: Projected Broncos 21, Panthers 20. Pick: Panthers +3. Texans at Chargers: Projected Texans 24, Chargers 20. Pick: Chargers +4.5. Raiders at 49ers: Projected 49ers 27, Raiders 20. Pick: Raiders +10. Cardinals at Seahawks: Projected Seahawks 33, Cardinals 20. Pick: Seahawks -10.5.
