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NFL Week 9 Odds and Predictions: Computer Model Simulates 10,000 Games for Betting Picks

NFL Week 9 Odds and Predictions: Computer Model Simulates 10,000 Games for Betting Picks
World Sports · 17:46:25 - Thursday, 5 November 2026

CBS Sports has released its Week 9 NFL odds and predictions, featuring a slate of cross-conference matchups that could serve as potential Super Bowl previews. The schedule includes the Bills vs. Vikings (+3.5), Patriots vs. Packers (+3), Broncos vs. Panthers (+2.5), and an international game in Madrid where the Bengals face the Falcons with Cincinnati favored by 3 points. Several games have spreads of at least a touchdown, such as Chiefs vs. Jets (+10), 49ers vs. Raiders (+10), and Seahawks vs. Cardinals (+8.5).

SportsLine's advanced computer model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has generated betting picks for all matchups. The model entered Week 9 of the 2026 season on a 60-51 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024, returning more than $5,000 for $100 players since its inception. Among its strongest Week 9 predictions: the Commanders (+5.5) cover at home against the Rams nearly 60% of the time, backed by a 3-1 ATS record in games Jayden Daniels has started and finished, a league-leading plus-seven turnover differential, and a rushing attack averaging over 140 yards in Daniels' starts. The Rams have struggled against mobile quarterbacks, allowing 234 rushing yards to Josh Allen and the Bills in Week 5.

Another highlighted pick has the Chiefs (-10) covering against the Jets. Kansas City has covered in both games as favorites of more than a touchdown this season and is 4-1 ATS over the last five such instances. The Jets are 2-4 ATS over their last six games as underdogs of more than a touchdown. The model projects Kansas City's No. 5 scoring defense to hold New York's No. 25 scoring offense to 3.8 yards per carry and Geno Smith under 200 passing yards, with the Chiefs covering in over 50% of simulations and the Over hitting nearly 60% of the time.

The full list of Week 9 spreads and totals includes: Jaguars at Ravens (JAX -10, 39.5), Bengals vs. Falcons in Madrid (CIN -3, 52.5), Browns at Saints (NO -3, 42.5), Cowboys at Colts (DAL -5.5, 51.5), Broncos at Panthers (DEN -2.5, 43.5), Lions at Dolphins (DET -7, 50.5), Rams at Commanders (LAR -5.5, 47.5), Giants at Eagles (NYG -3, 38.5), Jets at Chiefs (KC -10, 47.5), Texans at Chargers (HOU -4.5, 40.5), Cardinals at Seahawks (SEA -8.5, 40.5), Packers at Patriots (NE -3, 46.5), Raiders at 49ers (SF -10, 52.5), Buccaneers at Bears (CHI -6.5, 47.5), and Bills at Vikings on Monday (BUF -3.5, 45.5).

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