The Chicago Bears (5-2) visit the Seattle Seahawks (4-3) for a key NFC matchup on Monday Night Football at Lumen Field. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Chicago enters on a 30-24 win over the New England Patriots on Oct. 22, while Seattle defeated Kansas City 20-3 in Week 7. The Bears are 2-1 on the road this season; the Seahawks are 3-1 at home in 2026.
Injury report: Bears running back Kyle Monangai (thumb/toe) and Seahawks offensive tackle Charles Cross (ankle) are ruled out. Seattle running back Jadarian Price (chest) has been reinstated from injured reserve and is expected to play. Defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons is active for Chicago after being traded from the Titans last Thursday.
Latest odds list Seattle as a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 46.5 points. Money line: Seahawks -170, Bears +150.
SportsLine's projection model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, leans toward the Over 46.5 points (-108). The Over has hit in seven of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including a 49-point total in the last meeting at Seattle on Dec. 26, 2021. The Over has also cashed in each of Chicago's past two games and is 3-1 in games following a layoff of eight days or more.
Quarterback Caleb Williams powers the Bears' offense, completing 71% of his passes for 1,020 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception in four starts. Chicago ranks eighth in the league in scoring at 25.7 points per game. Seattle is led by quarterback Sam Darnold, who has completed 62.1% of his passes for 1,290 yards, eight touchdowns, and eight interceptions in six starts. The Seahawks average 24 points per game, 13th in the NFL.
The model projects 49 combined points, with the Over hitting in 52% of simulations. Additionally, the model indicates one side of the spread hits in more than 60% of simulations.
