Week 9 of the 2026 NFL season features a slate heavy on cross-conference matchups, including a game in Madrid between the Cincinnati Bengals and Atlanta Falcons. The Bengals are favored by 3 points after the Falcons were shut out 16-0 by Tampa Bay in Week 8.
Several games carry spreads of a touchdown or more. The Kansas City Chiefs are 9.5-point favorites over the New York Jets, the San Francisco 49ers are 10-point favorites over the Las Vegas Raiders, and the Seattle Seahawks are 12.5-point favorites over the Arizona Cardinals.
An advanced computer model that simulates each game 10,000 times has produced betting picks for every matchup. The model entered Week 9 on a 60-51 record on top-rated picks since 2024 and has returned more than $5,000 for $100 players since its inception.
Among the model's strongest projections, the Washington Commanders (+5.5, total 47.5) are expected to cover at home against the Los Angeles Rams nearly 60% of the time. Washington is 3-1 against the spread in games started and finished by quarterback Jayden Daniels, leads the NFL in turnover differential at plus-seven, and averages over 140 rushing yards in his starts. The Rams allowed 234 rushing yards to a mobile quarterback in Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills in Week 5.
Another highlighted pick has the Chiefs (-9.5, total 47.5) covering against the Jets. Kansas City has covered both games as a favorite of more than a touchdown this season and is 4-1 against the spread in the last five such instances. The Jets are 2-4 against the spread in their last six games as underdogs of more than a touchdown. The model projects New York to be held to 3.8 yards per carry and quarterback Geno Smith to fall short of 200 passing yards.
The full Week 9 schedule with spreads and totals includes: Jaguars at Ravens (JAX -10, 40), Bengals vs. Falcons in Madrid (CIN -3, 52.5), Browns at Saints (NO -3, 42.5), Cowboys at Colts (DAL -5.5, 51.5), Broncos at Panthers (DEN -2.5, 43.5), Lions at Dolphins (DET -7, 50.5), Rams at Commanders (LAR -5.5, 47.5), Giants at Eagles (NYG -3.5, 39.5), Jets at Chiefs (KC -9.5, 47.5), Texans at Chargers (HOU -4.5, 40.5), Cardinals at Seahawks (SEA -12.5, 41.5), Packers at Patriots (NE -3, 46.5), Raiders at 49ers (SF -10, 52.5), Buccaneers at Bears (CHI -6, 47.5), and Bills at Vikings on Monday (BUF -3.5, 45.5).
